Model
Case evidence, threshold, and risk
Review 3 consequence scenarios. Record evidence strength, threshold status, affected stakeholders, and risk from acting or waiting.
- Risks
- harm from premature action; harm from delayed action; unequal stakeholder impact
- Stakeholders
- person directly affected, professional team, institution or community
- Threshold
- State the Business Case evidence threshold that changes the provisional decision.
- Ethical constraint
- Do not claim certainty beyond the evidence or ignore who bears the residual risk.
Evidence
Consequences and residual uncertainty
Commit a falsifiable model and run the repeated trials to generate the dataset.